At present, the social ownership of electric tricycles is expected to be between 45 million and 50 million. In 2014, the production and sales volume of electric tricycles has exceeded 10 million. The production and sales volume in 2015 is expected to increase by 45-55%. How much is the social ownership of electric tricycles, which is the peak value of social saturation? According to the product attributes, the number of consumers, the substitutability of products and other factors, the social ownership of electric tricycles is expected to reach 70-80 million, which is a saturated node. On the surface, there is still room for incremental consumption of 20-30 million electric tricycles in the market in the future, and there is room for stock renewal of about 3-3.5 million electric tricycles every year. At present, the annual output of electric tricycles is expected to be between 16 million and 18 million, and the surplus rate is expected to be about 40%. Therefore, electric tricycle enterprises will also fall into the same dilemma of overcapacity as two wheeled vehicle enterprises.

  On the one hand, the space of electric tricycle is given by the market, on the other hand, it also depends on the efforts of all enterprises in the electric tricycle industry. Now, the development of electric two wheeled vehicles has been affected and restricted due to the lack of new national standards. The electric tricycle industry should pay attention to the lessons learned from the past and not repeat the mistakes of electric two wheeled vehicles.

  Due to the lack of national and industrial standards, the contradiction between manufacturers and consumers will continue to increase, especially the vicious traffic accidents caused by electric tricycles, which has brought a lot of negative effects to the electric tricycle industry. Therefore, electric tricycle enterprises, especially large-scale enterprises, gather as soon as possible and draw out manpower, energy and a little financial resources to formulate industry standards. Although there is no way to solve the national standard at the moment, start with the industry standard and build momentum through media publicity, which can open up a channel for the development of electric tricycle enterprises.